Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.738235 5.114417 5.527783 6.020001 6.596001 7.256329 8.082153
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.297906 4.794154 5.374165 6.116122 7.062225 8.262706 9.965122
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.973584 4.549477 5.257267 6.220290 7.549184 9.415016 12.457263
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.794464 4.454795 5.307584 6.544600 8.407666 11.364249 17.207818
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.460030 4.124094 5.008235 6.344507 8.480342 12.190336 20.822474
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.298548 4.004192 4.979551 6.533035 9.223037 14.557714 31.048648
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.134417 3.863676 4.904373 6.640769 9.882759 17.265094 50.747233
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.922139 3.636251 4.675905 6.463362 9.975364 18.836578 77.866242
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.721322 3.409656 4.426528 6.214387 9.868386 19.907124 123.976603
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.679339 3.411056 4.529902 6.606974 11.303141 27.825101 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.712001 3.526721 4.832197 7.451858 14.399070 55.633575 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.626075 3.451167 4.804957 7.635955 15.876283 92.376188 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.476815 3.279689 4.619829 7.509742 16.567228 158.159079 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.350158 3.135409 4.468884 7.436637 17.518673 462.422575 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.241645 3.012828 4.345021 7.406888 18.761381 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.178230 2.960026 4.345865 7.694664 22.114803 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.051421 2.791572 4.107896 7.309457 21.384186 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.987912 2.726803 4.066022 7.450276 24.379889 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.921285 2.651927 3.996202 7.500489 27.177113 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.831595 2.531506 3.823389 7.213982 26.765646 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.743230 2.409138 3.637971 6.861487 25.413127 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.724802 2.408469 3.702217 7.284962 33.374084 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.740198 2.469022 3.903763 8.250600 61.729115 NaN NaN